The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition S Makridakis, A Andersen, R Carbone, R Fildes, M Hibon, ... Journal of forecasting 1 (2), 111-153, 1982 | 2044 | 1982 |
Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis RT Clemen, RL Winkler Risk analysis 19, 187-203, 1999 | 1634 | 1999 |
An introduction to Bayesian inference and decision RL Winkler (No Title), 1972 | 1077 | 1972 |
Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions JE Matheson, RL Winkler Management science 22 (10), 1087-1096, 1976 | 1075 | 1976 |
A general framework for forecast verification AH Murphy, RL Winkler Monthly weather review 115 (7), 1330-1338, 1987 | 920 | 1987 |
Averages of forecasts: Some empirical results S Makridakis, RL Winkler Management science 29 (9), 987-996, 1983 | 882 | 1983 |
Statistics: Probability, inference, and decision WL Hays, RL Winkler (No Title), 1970 | 877* | 1970 |
Forecasting: theory and practice F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos, MZ Babai, DK Barrow, ... International Journal of Forecasting 38 (3), 705-871, 2022 | 735 | 2022 |
The assessment of prior distributions in Bayesian analysis RL Winkler Journal of the American Statistical association 62 (319), 776-800, 1967 | 704 | 1967 |
Statistics: Probability, inference, and decision RL Winkler, WL Hays Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1975 | 606 | 1975 |
Combining probability distributions from dependent information sources RL Winkler Management Science 27 (4), 479-488, 1981 | 589 | 1981 |
Organizational behavior and human decision processes HR Arkes, M Bar-Hillel, LR Beach, B Brehmer, JB Brett, NJ Castellan Jr, ... | 530 | 1991 |
The consensus of subjective probability distributions RL Winkler Management science 15 (2), B-61-B-75, 1968 | 521 | 1968 |
The combination of forecasts RL Winkler, S Makridakis Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (General) 146 (2), 150-157, 1983 | 514 | 1983 |
" Good" Probability Assessors RL Winkler, AH Murphy Journal of Applied Meteorology (1962-1982), 751-758, 1968 | 476 | 1968 |
Combining economic forecasts RT Clemen, RL Winkler Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 4 (1), 39-46, 1986 | 461 | 1986 |
Interactive elicitation of opinion for a normal linear model JB Kadane, JM Dickey, RL Winkler, WS Smith, SC Peters Journal of the American Statistical Association 75 (372), 845-854, 1980 | 460 | 1980 |
Reliability of subjective probability forecasts of precipitation and temperature AH Murphy, RL Winkler Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics 26 (1 …, 1977 | 440 | 1977 |
Probability forecasting in meteorology AH Murphy, RL Winkler Journal of the American Statistical Association 79 (387), 489-500, 1984 | 412 | 1984 |
Limits for the precision and value of information from dependent sources RT Clemen, RL Winkler Operations Research 33 (2), 427-442, 1985 | 363 | 1985 |